Imd monsoon forecast 2023

The IMD classifies its monsoon prediction into 3 broad categories: Normal, Below Normal, and Above Normal. This is in relation to a benchmark called LPA or the Long Period Average. The IMD defines LPA as the rainfall recorded over a particular region for a given interval averaged over a long period like 30 years, 50 years, and so on. Since annual rainfall varies from region to region and from month to month, LPA is needed to smooth out trends so that a reasonably accurate prediction can be made. Now each year both the IMD and Skymet come up with their own set of monsoon predictions. And like most years, their predictions are on different tracks. Data suggests that between 2018 and 2022, Skymet was closest to getting its prediction right only once i.e. in 2018. In 2019, 2021 and 2022, IMD's prediction was more accurate than Skymet's.

Depression over Arabian Sea likely to intensify into cyclonic storm: IMD A depression over the southeast Arabian Sea, south of Porbandar in Gujarat, is likely to move northwestward and intensify into a cyclonic storm, the India Meteorological Department said on Tuesday. In a bulletin, the Met office said the depression lay about 920 km west-southwest of Goa, 1,120 km Monsoon keeps date with Northeast, set to arrive tomorrow GUWAHATI: The monsoon is set to hit the northeast on Saturday, the IMD said, offering hope of respite from a savage summer to the region and other parts eyeing similar relief from the mercury misery. With the Southwest Monsoon gliding into Kerala on Thursday, the IMD’s NE Regional Meteorological El Nino to cloud entire monsoon: US agencies El Nino, a weather condition marked by abnormal warming of surface waters in the east and central Pacific along with changes in global wind currents usually — but not always — leads to poor summer monsoon rains in India. El Nino conditions, which generally occur every two to six years, have Announcing the onset of southwest monsoon over “The formation of a low-pressure system in the Arabian Sea, which subsequently intensified into the very severe cyclone ‘Biparjoy’, delayed the onset of the monsoon over Kerala as it took moisture away from the region,” IMD chief Mrutyunjay Mohapatra told TOI. The Met department announced the monsoon's onset after the rainfall and cloud formations met all the conditions including depth...

• • • • Monsoon Forecast 2023: IMD Predicts Normal Rainfall This Year; Risk of Rain Deficit Looms Large Monsoon Forecast 2023: IMD Predicts Normal Rainfall This Year; Risk of Rain Deficit Looms Large After four consecutive years of normal and above-normal rains during the monsoon season, this forecast comes as a concern for the agricultural sector, which heavily relies on monsoon rains for crop production. Monsoon Forecast 2023: IMD Predicts Normal Rainfall This Year; Risk of Rain Deficit Looms Large New Delhi: India Meteorological Department, the nation’s official forecaster, today said that India will get normal monsoon this year. In a press conference, IMD Director General of Meteorology, Dr Mrutyunjay Mohapatra predicted normal to below normal rainfall in some areas of north west India and some parts of west central India and some pockets of north east India. Also Read: • • • The Met department head said El Nino conditions are likely to develop during the monsoon season and its impact may be felt in the second half. He, however, added that not all El Nino years are bad monsoon years and that 40 per cent of the El Nino years in the past (1951-2022) received normal to above-normal monsoon rainfall. El Nino conditions are likely to develop during the monsoon season and its impact may be seen during the second half of the season: Dr Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director General of Meteorology, India Meteorological Department — ANI (@ANI) This forecast comes as a relief for the ag...

NEW DELHI: Below normal June-to-September monsoon rains are expected over most parts of northwest India, including the grain bowls of Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh, said the India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Friday. IMD, in its second forecast for the 2023 southwest monsoon season, said monsoon rains are, however, predicted to be 'normal' over the main rain-fed dependent zones and all remaining parts of India. The impact of the rains would be more on agriculture as irrigation systems are used in much of northwest India, particularly in the major paddy-growing states of Punjab, Haryana and western Uttar Pradesh. Reiterating its April forecast, the IMD said overall monsoon rains will be normal at 96 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A model error of plus and minus four percent is included in the forecast. The possibility of normal rainfall during the June-to-September period has been pegged at 43 per cent, while that of above-normal rainfall is put at 11 per cent, IMD said. The below-normal and deficient rainfall probability is 25 per cent and 20 per cent, respectively, according to the met agency. It was also predicted by the IMD that the southwest monsoon over the rainfed-regions of India or the 'monsoon convergence zone', is expected to be normal at 96-106 per cent of the LPA. This should be a welcome forecast for policy makers and agriculturists as the region is known for growing pulses and oilseeds in bulk quantities during the ‘kharif’ season. The I...

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It will provide relief to farmers and others who depend on the monsoon season for their livelihoods and help to mitigate the risks of droughts and floods. The IMD generates these long-term predictions using the Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) forecasting system based on coupled global climate models (CGCMs). Normal rainfall during the monsoon season will help to mitigate these risks and provide much-needed relief to those affected by water scarcity and other climate-related challenges. - Advertisement - The India Meteorological Department has predicted normal southwest monsoon rains this year, with a seasonal precipitation of 96% of the long-period average. This is the first straight year of normal or above-normal rainfall predictions for the monsoon season, which is crucial for sufficient agricultural yield and replenishing reservoirs critical for drinking water and power generation across the country. The forecasted spatial distribution hints at normal to above-normal rainfall activity in many parts of Northeast, South Peninsular and adjoining East-Central India, along with some parts of Northwest India. The IMD generates these long-term predictions using the Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) forecasting system based on coupled global climate models (CGCMs). In light of the recent report by a recent report from the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the southwest monsoon rains in 2023 are expected to be ‘normal’. The seasonal precipitation during the four-month period between Ju...

It will provide relief to farmers and others who depend on the monsoon season for their livelihoods and help to mitigate the risks of droughts and floods. The IMD generates these long-term predictions using the Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) forecasting system based on coupled global climate models (CGCMs). Normal rainfall during the monsoon season will help to mitigate these risks and provide much-needed relief to those affected by water scarcity and other climate-related challenges. - Advertisement - The India Meteorological Department has predicted normal southwest monsoon rains this year, with a seasonal precipitation of 96% of the long-period average. This is the first straight year of normal or above-normal rainfall predictions for the monsoon season, which is crucial for sufficient agricultural yield and replenishing reservoirs critical for drinking water and power generation across the country. The forecasted spatial distribution hints at normal to above-normal rainfall activity in many parts of Northeast, South Peninsular and adjoining East-Central India, along with some parts of Northwest India. The IMD generates these long-term predictions using the Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) forecasting system based on coupled global climate models (CGCMs). In light of the recent report by a recent report from the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the southwest monsoon rains in 2023 are expected to be ‘normal’. The seasonal precipitation during the four-month period between Ju...

NEW DELHI: Below normal June-to-September monsoon rains are expected over most parts of northwest India, including the grain bowls of Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh, said the India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Friday. IMD, in its second forecast for the 2023 southwest monsoon season, said monsoon rains are, however, predicted to be 'normal' over the main rain-fed dependent zones and all remaining parts of India. The impact of the rains would be more on agriculture as irrigation systems are used in much of northwest India, particularly in the major paddy-growing states of Punjab, Haryana and western Uttar Pradesh. Reiterating its April forecast, the IMD said overall monsoon rains will be normal at 96 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). A model error of plus and minus four percent is included in the forecast. The possibility of normal rainfall during the June-to-September period has been pegged at 43 per cent, while that of above-normal rainfall is put at 11 per cent, IMD said. The below-normal and deficient rainfall probability is 25 per cent and 20 per cent, respectively, according to the met agency. It was also predicted by the IMD that the southwest monsoon over the rainfed-regions of India or the 'monsoon convergence zone', is expected to be normal at 96-106 per cent of the LPA. This should be a welcome forecast for policy makers and agriculturists as the region is known for growing pulses and oilseeds in bulk quantities during the ‘kharif’ season. The I...

The IMD classifies its monsoon prediction into 3 broad categories: Normal, Below Normal, and Above Normal. This is in relation to a benchmark called LPA or the Long Period Average. The IMD defines LPA as the rainfall recorded over a particular region for a given interval averaged over a long period like 30 years, 50 years, and so on. Since annual rainfall varies from region to region and from month to month, LPA is needed to smooth out trends so that a reasonably accurate prediction can be made. Now each year both the IMD and Skymet come up with their own set of monsoon predictions. And like most years, their predictions are on different tracks. Data suggests that between 2018 and 2022, Skymet was closest to getting its prediction right only once i.e. in 2018. In 2019, 2021 and 2022, IMD's prediction was more accurate than Skymet's.

• • • • Monsoon Forecast 2023: IMD Predicts Normal Rainfall This Year; Risk of Rain Deficit Looms Large Monsoon Forecast 2023: IMD Predicts Normal Rainfall This Year; Risk of Rain Deficit Looms Large After four consecutive years of normal and above-normal rains during the monsoon season, this forecast comes as a concern for the agricultural sector, which heavily relies on monsoon rains for crop production. Monsoon Forecast 2023: IMD Predicts Normal Rainfall This Year; Risk of Rain Deficit Looms Large New Delhi: India Meteorological Department, the nation’s official forecaster, today said that India will get normal monsoon this year. In a press conference, IMD Director General of Meteorology, Dr Mrutyunjay Mohapatra predicted normal to below normal rainfall in some areas of north west India and some parts of west central India and some pockets of north east India. Also Read: • • • The Met department head said El Nino conditions are likely to develop during the monsoon season and its impact may be felt in the second half. He, however, added that not all El Nino years are bad monsoon years and that 40 per cent of the El Nino years in the past (1951-2022) received normal to above-normal monsoon rainfall. El Nino conditions are likely to develop during the monsoon season and its impact may be seen during the second half of the season: Dr Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director General of Meteorology, India Meteorological Department — ANI (@ANI) This forecast comes as a relief for the ag...